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Penarol W vs Indep. Santa Fe W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2024 Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penarol W
15%
Draws
85%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penarol W haven't matched Indep. Santa Fe W's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Indep. Santa Fe W taking it.
  • Indep. Santa Fe W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.69 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Penarol W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 14 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Penarol W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (16 games).

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Boca Juniors W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Libertad Limpeno W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 ADIFFEM W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Colo Colo W 3 1 0 2 7:3 3
4 Always Ready W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Independiente del Valle W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Ferroviaria W 3 0 3 0 4:4 3
4 Penarol W 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 A. Lima W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 S. Morning W 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Guarani W 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)