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Penarol W vs Taruma W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense Women game between Penarol W and Taruma W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taruma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Penarol W
15%
Draws
51%
Taruma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taruma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penarol W come out ahead of Taruma W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Taruma W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Penarol W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Taruma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Taruma W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.73 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
5:0
Dec 5, 2021 Amazonense Women
Taruma W vs Penarol W
1:12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Taruma W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Taruma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taruma W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Taruma W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Taruma W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Taruma W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
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Taruma W

(Away)
29 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
18 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 5
3B da Amazonia W
13 Aug
Amazonas Legis W
0 : 8
Taruma W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
14 Sept
Penarol W
2 : 1
Taruma W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 3B da Amazonia W 3 3 0 0 31:2 9
2 Taruma W 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
3 Penarol W 3 1 0 2 7:14 3
4 Amazonas Legis W 3 0 0 3 2:31 0
Promotion - Amazonense Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense Women (Play Offs)