Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pencoed in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pencoed
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Pencoed at 1.88 per game, Treharris Athletic at 1.58.
- Model gives Pencoed a 57% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Pencoed, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pencoed Clean Sheet 11%
Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pencoed | Treharris Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 12 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 3.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Pencoed vs Treharris Athletic
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pencoed 83 / 100
Treharris Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pencoed Treharris Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pencoed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treharris Athletic let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Pencoed scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.
Treharris Athletic lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pencoed VS Treharris Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pencoed
(Home) 21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
08 Oct
Pencoed
0 : 1 Aberystwyth
17 Sept
Pencoed
6 : 2 Brecon Corinthians
04 Sept
Pencoed
0 : 3 Llantwit Major
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
Page 1 of 2
08 Oct
Pencoed
0 : 1 Aberystwyth
17 Sept
Pencoed
6 : 2 Brecon Corinthians
04 Sept
Pencoed
0 : 3 Llantwit Major
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
04 Nov
Pencoed
1 : 3 Pontypridd United
Treharris Athletic
(Away) 16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
Page 1 of 3
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
12 Oct
Llantwit Major
2 : 3 Treharris Athletic
02 Oct
Grange Harlequins
3 : 0 Treharris Athletic
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penlan Club 0
Ynysygerwn 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penybont -
TBD -
Undy 3
Chepstow Town 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Caersws FC 2
Rhostyllen 3
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Porthmadog 3
Llanberis FC 0
Monmouth 3
Cwmamman United 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Goytre Utd -
TBD -
Abergavenny Town 1
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 5
Treharris Athletic 0
Llantwit Major 4
Risca United 0
Llandudno FC 4
Llay Welfare 2
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Caerau Ely 3
Brecon Corinthians 8
Bala -
TBD -
Brymbo 3
Llansantffraid Village 1
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Penydarren 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Llanrhaeadr -
TBD -
Saltney Town 3
Felinheli 1
Penrhyncoch -
TBD -
Aberaeron 1
Ynyshir Albions 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Porthcawl Town 0
Aber Valley 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Holyhead 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Newtown -
TBD -
Llanelwy 2
Berriew FC 7
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Cardiff Airport 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Caergybi 1
Cefn Albion 4
TNS -
TBD -
Llanfairfechan Town 1
Llanrwst United 2
Pure Swansea -
TBD -
Caldicot 6
Penparcau FC 3
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Pontymister 1
Dinas Powys 2
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 6
Llandudno Albion 5
Llanerchymedd 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -
Flint Town -
TBD -
Llanfair United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 3
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
Trefelin 8
Fairwater 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Rhyl 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Holywell Town FC 2
Gresford 3
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Bodedern 5
Llandyrnog United 1
Llangefni 0
Ruthin Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pontardawe 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Garden Village 2
Goytre AFC 3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn 1
Cambrian United 3
Penybont 7
Undy 0
Denbigh 0
Caernarfon 4
Prestatyn 6
Rhostyllen 0
Buckley 3
Porthmadog 1
Monmouth 3
Llanelli 0
Goytre Utd 0
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 0
Llantwit Major 3
Llandudno FC 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 6
Brecon Corinthians 0
Bala 17
Brymbo 1
Pontypridd United 6
Penydarren 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Saltney Town 5
Penrhyncoch 4
Ynyshir Albions 1
Aberystwyth 9
Aber Valley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Holyhead 0
Newtown 6
Berriew FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Conwy Borough 3
Cefn Albion 2
TNS 6
Llanrwst United 0
Pure Swansea 6
Caldicot 3
Llanidloes Town 1
Bangor City 4
Dinas Powys 2
Afan Lido 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Guilsfield 5
Ammanford Town 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Flint Town 5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 0
Briton Ferry 0
Trefelin 3
Connahs Q. 5
Rhyl 0
Gresford 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Bodedern 4
Ruthin Town 5
Pontardawe 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Barry Town 2
Goytre AFC 0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Buckley 2
Monmouth 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Bala 5
Pontypridd United 0
Saltney Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberystwyth 4
Cefn Druids 1
Newtown 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Conwy Borough 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Bangor City 0
Dinas Powys 2
Guilsfield 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Flint Town 3
Trefelin 0
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 5
Ruthin Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 0
1/8-finals
Penybont 1
Caernarfon 0
Buckley 0
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Bala 3
Saltney Town 0
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Quarter-finals
Penybont 3
Taffs Well 2
Bala 2
Aberystwyth 1
TNS 2
Guilsfield 0
Connahs Q. 0
Colwyn Bay 2
Semi-finals
Penybont 1
Bala 0
TNS 1
Colwyn Bay 0
Final
Penybont 2
TNS 3
