Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Pendik Stadyumu

Pendikspor

4 - 1

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Aydemir E.

40'

Thuram

43'

Chaadaev R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pendikspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pendikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Pendikspor

39%

Draws

31%

Hatayspor

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Pendikspor lately — more wins on the board than Hatayspor.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Pendikspor Clean Sheet 68%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pendikspor	Hatayspor
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	2
Draws	11	5
Losses	8	23
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 1. Lig

Pendikspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Nov 22, 2025 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Pendikspor

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Jan 13, 2024 Super Lig

Hatayspor vs Pendikspor

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Aug 12, 2023 Super Lig

Pendikspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

1:5

Feb 7, 2016 2. Lig White Group

Pendikspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pendikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Thuram

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmushan U.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pendikspor 41 / 100

Hatayspor 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pendikspor Hatayspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatayspor has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pendikspor scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Pendikspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pendikspor VS Hatayspor

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54