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Penedo Gordo vs Praia Milfontes

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penedo Gordo play Praia Milfontes in the Taça de Portugal 2019/2020. Penedo Gordo are favorites here. Recently, Penedo Gordo averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Praia Milfontes averaged 0.71 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Penedo Gordo won 1, Praia Milfontes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Penedo Gordo and 0.73 for Praia Milfontes. This points to a Penedo Gordo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penedo Gordo
6%
Draws
4%
Praia Milfontes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penedo Gordo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Penedo Gordo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Praia Milfontes.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Penedo Gordo.
  • Cup tournament structure in Taça de Portugal 2019/2020 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Penedo Gordo Clean Sheet 20%
Praia Milfontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penedo Gordo Praia Milfontes
Matches Played 4 7
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Penedo Gordo vs Praia Milfontes
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penedo Gordo 85 / 100
Praia Milfontes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penedo Gordo Praia Milfontes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penedo Gordo scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Praia Milfontes let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Penedo Gordo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Praia Milfontes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penedo Gordo VS Praia Milfontes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
25% Over 1.5 71%
0% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Aljustrelense3
Vasco de Gama de Sines2
TBD-
Casa Pia-
Vizela3
Pedras Rubras0
TBD-
GD Fontinhas-
Vasco de Gama de Sines-
TBD-
TBD-
Cova De Piedade-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Leca-
TBD-
TBD-
Oliveirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mortagua FC4
Anadia2
TBD-
Penafiel-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Sintra1
GS Loures0
Trofense1
Amarante FC2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
CDC Montalegre1
Cerveira0
TBD-
Marinhense-
Coutada2
Fayal0
Marinhense0
Fatima1
Condeixa1
Oliveira Hospital0
TBD-
SC Lusitania-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rio Ave-
AD Portomosense3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz2
Sacavenense0
Alverca3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Louletano1
Ferreiras0
Vila Cortez0
Figueirense3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Amora2
SC Lusitania1
TBD-
Sao Joao de Ver-
Sporting Ideal-
TBD-
Sao Joao de Ver0
Sanjoanense3
SC Espinho2
Castro Daire0
TBD-
Nacional-
Carcao2
GD Prado1
TBD-
Vilafranquense-
Electrico FC-
TBD-
Rebordosa0
Arouca5
Sao Martinho3
Porto da Cruz0
Ponte da Barca0
Merelinense1
Lusitania FC1
Paredes0
TBD-
Covilha-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Famalicao-
Lusitano FCV3
Anca2
TBD-
Academica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portimonense-
Penedo Gordo2
Praia Milfontes0
TBD-
Fabril do Barreiro-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moreirense-
Vila Pouca-
TBD-
TBD-
Mafra-
U. Madeira1
SC Vila Real0
Rebordelo0
AD Fafe3
CD Rabo Peixe1
Montijo0
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
Leiria5
FC Crato0
Estrela Vendas Novas1
Real SC4
Berco3
Pevidem1
TBD-
Feirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tondela-
SC Mirandela2
Atletico Arcos0
TBD-
Chaves-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Esperanca de Lagos1
Lusitano GC0
TBD-
Pevidem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BSAD-
Pero Pinheiro4
1º Dezembro3
Aguias do Moradal2
Vitoria Sernache4
Moncarapachense3
Juv. Evora2
Oleiros1
Sertanense2
Santarem3
Uniao Almeirim2
TBD-
SC Farense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aves-
Maria de Fonte3
GD Braganca0
Vila Pouca1
Pedras Salgadas3
Agueda5
Ferreira de Aves0
Sporting Ideal0
Oriental2
Gondomar3
Leca1
TBD-
Valadares Gaia FC-
Canelas 20103
Valadares Gaia FC1
TBD-
Anca-
Coimbroes4
Regua1
TBD-
GD Prado-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
Aguias do Moradal-
TBD-
Sao Roque0
Torreense1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
GD Alcochetense5
Velense0
TBD-
Leixoes-
Atletico Arcos-
TBD-
Fabril do Barreiro0
SC Praiense4
AD Oliveirense2
FC Vilarinho0
Camara de Lobos0
FC Felgueiras4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Caldas SC5
Vila Velha0
TBD-
Varzim-
Pinhalnovense3
GD Fontinhas1
TBD-
Estoril-
GS Loures-
TBD-
TBD-
Lusitano VRSA-
SB Castelo Branco7
Electrico FC0
Armacenenses0
Olhanense1
GD Coruchense-
TBD-
TBD-
Montijo-
Anadia-
TBD-
GD Coruchense0
Sintrense1
Beira Mar6
Pampilhosense0
Manteigas1
Bustelo3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maritimo-
1/64-finals
Aljustrelense0
Casa Pia2
Vizela6
GD Fontinhas1
Vasco de Gama de Sines0
Cova De Piedade4
TBD-
Benfica-
Leca1
Oliveirense0
TBD-
TBD-
Mortagua FC2
Penafiel3
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Sintra2
Amarante FC0
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
CDC Montalegre0
Marinhense1
Coutada0
Fatima4
Condeixa1
SC Lusitania0
TBD-
Rio Ave-
AD Portomosense0
Alverca3
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Louletano2
Figueirense1
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Amora2
Sao Joao de Ver1
Sporting Ideal0
Sanjoanense1
SC Espinho2
Nacional0
Carcao0
Vilafranquense2
Electrico FC1
Arouca6
Sao Martinho0
Merelinense1
Lusitania FC4
Covilha2
TBD-
Famalicao-
Lusitano FCV0
Academica1
TBD-
Portimonense-
Penedo Gordo0
Fabril do Barreiro1
TBD-
Moreirense-
Vila Pouca0
Mafra4
U. Madeira1
AD Fafe2
CD Rabo Peixe0
Academico Viseu1
Leiria0
Real SC1
Berco1
Feirense3
TBD-
Tondela-
SC Mirandela1
Chaves2
TBD-
TBD-
Esperanca de Lagos1
Pevidem3
TBD-
BSAD-
Pero Pinheiro0
Vitoria Sernache1
Moncarapachense0
Sertanense1
Santarem1
SC Farense2
TBD-
Aves-
Maria de Fonte1
Pedras Salgadas5
Agueda4
Oriental1
Gondomar0
Valadares Gaia FC1
Canelas 20104
Anca0
Coimbroes3
GD Prado1
TBD-
FC Porto-
Aguias do Moradal1
Torreense0
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
GD Alcochetense0
Leixoes4
Atletico Arcos0
SC Praiense2
AD Oliveirense2
FC Felgueiras1
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Caldas SC0
Varzim1
Pinhalnovense1
Estoril2
GS Loures3
Lusitano VRSA2
SB Castelo Branco3
Olhanense2
GD Coruchense0
Montijo4
Anadia2
Sintrense1
Beira Mar2
Bustelo0
TBD-
Maritimo-
1/32-finals
Casa Pia1
Vizela3
Cova De Piedade0
Benfica4
Leca1
Braga3
Penafiel0
Gil Vicente2
Sintra2
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Marinhense1
Fatima0
Condeixa0
Rio Ave1
Alverca2
Sporting CP0
Louletano1
Pacos Ferreira2
Amora0
Sanjoanense1
SC Espinho2
Vilafranquense1
Arouca1
Merelinense0
Lusitania FC1
Famalicao2
Academica2
Portimonense1
Fabril do Barreiro1
Moreirense3
Mafra1
AD Fafe0
Academico Viseu3
Real SC1
Feirense3
Tondela0
Chaves2
Boavista1
Pevidem0
BSAD2
Vitoria Sernache0
Sertanense1
SC Farense5
Aves2
Pedras Salgadas1
Agueda0
Valadares Gaia FC0
Canelas 20101
Coimbroes0
FC Porto5
Aguias do Moradal0
Vitoria Setubal5
Leixoes4
SC Praiense2
AD Oliveirense0
Santa Clara3
Varzim1
Estoril0
GS Loures4
SB Castelo Branco2
Montijo0
Anadia1
Beira Mar3
Maritimo2
1/16-finals
Vizela1
Benfica2
Braga1
Gil Vicente0
Sintra0
Marinhense2
Rio Ave1
Alverca0
Pacos Ferreira1
Sanjoanense0
SC Espinho3
Arouca2
Famalicao1
Academica0
Moreirense1
Mafra3
Academico Viseu1
Feirense0
Chaves1
BSAD0
Sertanense2
SC Farense1
Pedras Salgadas0
Canelas 20101
FC Porto4
Vitoria Setubal0
Leixoes1
Santa Clara4
Varzim1
GS Loures0
Anadia2
Beira Mar1
1/8-finals
Benfica2
Braga1
Marinhense0
Rio Ave2
Pacos Ferreira3
SC Espinho0
Famalicao3
Mafra0
Academico Viseu1
Chaves0
Sertanense0
Canelas 20101
FC Porto1
Santa Clara0
Varzim2
Anadia1
Quarter-finals
Benfica3
Rio Ave2
Pacos Ferreira0
Famalicao1
Academico Viseu1
Canelas 20100
FC Porto2
Varzim1
Semi-finals
Benfica4
Famalicao3
Academico Viseu1
FC Porto4
Final
Benfica1
FC Porto2