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Stadium Background

Penicuik vs Stenhousemuir Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Stevenson C.
56' Event
Baptie R.
83' Event
Stewart S.
Assist: Stevenson C.

AI Match Summary

Penicuik in this Scottish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Penicuik
15%
Draws
57%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir have won more games recently than Penicuik.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Penicuik taking it.
  • Stenhousemuir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penicuik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Penicuik Clean Sheet 16%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penicuik Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 21
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 Scottish Cup
Penicuik vs Stenhousemuir
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penicuik Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevenson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baptie R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Stenhousemuir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penicuik 36 / 100
Stenhousemuir 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penicuik Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Penicuik scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stenhousemuir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Penicuik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penicuik VS Stenhousemuir
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penicuik

(Home)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Penicuik
0 : 6
Pollok
18 Sept
Penicuik
1 : 3
Tranent FC
23 Nov
Partick
1 : 0
Penicuik
26 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 0
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 2

Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ayr -
TBD -
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Ross County -
St Johnstone -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Clachnacuddin 2
TBD -
Brora Rangers -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Fraserburgh 0
Civil Service Strollers 1
Buckie Thistle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Stirling -
TBD -
Lossiemouth 1
Strathspey Thistle 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penicuik 5
Cumbernauld Colts 1
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
St. Mirren -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rothes 4
Caledonian Braves 3
Wick Academy 2
Inverurie Loco Works 3
Cowdenbeath -
TBD -
East Stirlingshire 2
Broxburn Athletic 3
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Motherwell -
Aberdeen -
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Dumbarton -
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Forfar Athletic -
Kilmarnock -
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Queen of the South -
TBD -
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TBD -
Spartans 3
Deveronvale 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Kelty Hearts 0
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Stirling University 3
Keith 2
Huntly 0
Linlithgow Rose 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers -
TBD -
Vale Of Leithen 0
Fort William 5
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Airdrieonians -
Hamilton -
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Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Forres Mechanics 1
Banks O' Dee 4
Annan -
TBD -
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Brechin -
Rangers -
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Stranraer -
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Dunfermline -
Formartine Utd 5
Turriff United 1
Dalbeattie Star 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 3
East Kilbride -
TBD -
Hill Of Beath 0
Gretna 2008 1
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 3
Edinburgh University 1
TBD -
Broomhill -
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
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Hibernian -
Elgin City -
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Berwick -
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Alloa -
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Inverness -
Livingston -
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Raith -
TBD -
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TBD -
Peterhead -
1/64-finals
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 0
Brora Rangers 7
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Buckie Thistle 0
TBD -
Montrose -
Stirling 2
Strathspey Thistle 0
TBD -
Clyde -
Partick -
TBD -
Penicuik 3
Stenhousemuir 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rothes 1
Inverurie Loco Works 3
Cowdenbeath 1
Broxburn Athletic 4
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
Spartans 0
Queen's Park 2
Auchinleck Talbot 1
Cove Rangers 0
TBD -
Arbroath -
Stirling University 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Falkirk -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 6
Fort William 1
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Hamilton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 3
Banks O' Dee 1
Annan 4
Brechin 2
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stranraer -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Formartine Utd 4
Gala Fairydean Rovers 3
East Kilbride 3
Gretna 2008 1
East Fife -
TBD -
Lochee United 2
Broomhill 3
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Elgin City 3
Berwick 1
TBD -
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterhead -
1/32-finals
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
St Johnstone -
TBD -
Morton 4
Brora Rangers 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Montrose 1
Stirling 0
Clyde 2
Partick 1
Penicuik 0
TBD -
Celtic -
St. Mirren -
TBD -
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Broxburn Athletic 1
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Dumbarton 3
Forfar Athletic 1
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
Queen of the South 1
Queen's Park 2
Auchinleck Talbot 1
Arbroath 4
Linlithgow Rose 1
Falkirk 4
Hearts -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 1
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 4
Annan 3
Rangers -
TBD -
Stranraer 1
Dunfermline 0
Formartine Utd 0
East Kilbride 4
East Fife 3
Broomhill 4
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Elgin City 1
Alloa 3
TBD -
Inverness -
Livingston -
TBD -
Raith 1
Peterhead 0
1/16-finals
Ayr 1
Ross County 0
St Johnstone 3
Morton 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Clyde 1
Partick 1
Celtic 2
St. Mirren 3
Broxburn Athletic 0
Dundee FC 0
Motherwell 3
Aberdeen 1
Dumbarton 0
Kilmarnock 6
Queen's Park 0
Arbroath 0
Falkirk 2
Hearts 5
Airdrieonians 0
Hamilton 5
Edinburgh City 0
Rangers 2
Stranraer 0
East Kilbride 1
Broomhill 3
Dundee Utd 4
Hibernian 6
Alloa 2
Inverness 3
Livingston 3
Raith 1
1/8-finals
Ayr 1
St Johnstone 2
Clyde 0
Celtic 3
St. Mirren 6
Motherwell 5
Aberdeen 4
Kilmarnock 3
Falkirk 0
Hearts 1
Hamilton 1
Rangers 4
Broomhill 1
Hibernian 4
Inverness 1
Livingston 0
Quarter-finals
St Johnstone 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 0
Aberdeen 2
Hearts 1
Rangers 0
Hibernian 5
Inverness 2
Semi-finals
Celtic 2
Aberdeen 0
Hearts 2
Hibernian 1
Final
Celtic 4
Hearts 3