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Peninsula U23 vs Eastern Suburbs U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peninsula U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Peninsula U23
35%
Draws
49%
Eastern Suburbs U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eastern Suburbs U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs U23 lately — more wins on the board than Peninsula U23.
  • Win probability leans Eastern Suburbs U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula U23 Eastern Suburbs U23
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 6 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Eastern Suburbs U23 vs Peninsula U23
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs Eastern Suburbs U23
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula U23 18 / 100
Eastern Suburbs U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula U23 Eastern Suburbs U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Peninsula U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Peninsula U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peninsula U23 VS Eastern Suburbs U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peninsula U23

(Home)
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
5 : 2
Peninsula U23
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
1 : 1
Peninsula U23
Page 1 of 5

Eastern Suburbs U23

(Away)
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs U23
1 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
0 : 1
Magic United TFA FC U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
1 : 1
Peninsula U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 21 15 2 4 58:26 47
2 Queensland Lions U23 21 13 5 3 50:21 44
3 Moreton City Excelsior U23 21 13 2 6 57:29 41
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 21 13 1 7 54:36 40
5 Gold Coast U23 21 12 2 7 48:42 38
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 21 9 4 8 40:28 31
7 QLD State Team U17 21 8 1 12 43:53 25
8 Olympic FC U23 21 7 2 12 34:52 23
9 Brisbane City U23 21 6 3 12 39:54 21
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 21 6 3 12 29:48 21
11 Peninsula U23 21 6 2 13 36:54 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 21 4 1 16 23:68 13
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)