Sport Picks
Peninsula vs Brisbane City Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
59'
59'
Gray R.
62'
62'
Barnes M.
72'
72'
Miyazawa H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brisbane City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Peninsula lately — more wins on the board than Brisbane City.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 14%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peninsula | Brisbane City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
2:2
May 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Peninsula
1:4
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
1:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Peninsula
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Gray R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miyazawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Brisbane City Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Love-Semira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peninsula 31 / 100
Brisbane City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peninsula Brisbane City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brisbane City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Peninsula's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Brisbane City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Peninsula has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Peninsula VS Brisbane City
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Peninsula
(Home) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
23 May
Peninsula
3 : 2 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 3
Brisbane City
(Away) 14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2 Brisbane City
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3 Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0 Brisbane City
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2 Brisbane City
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3 Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0 Brisbane City
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5 Brisbane City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
