Sport Picks
Peninsula vs Queensland Lions
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
6'
6'
Miyazawa H.
11'
11'
Fiechtner A.
28'
28'
Kovach E.
AI Match Summary
Peninsula in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queensland Lions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Peninsula.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Queensland Lions here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 12%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peninsula | Queensland Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 24 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
4:1
Aug 1, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Queensland Lions
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kovach E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Queensland Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peninsula 10 / 100
Queensland Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peninsula Queensland Lions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Peninsula scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Peninsula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Queensland Lions let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Peninsula VS Queensland Lions
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Peninsula
(Home) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
23 May
Peninsula
3 : 2 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 3
Queensland Lions
(Away) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Queensland Lions
06 Jun
Brisbane City
0 : 4 Queensland Lions
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
