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Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penrhyncoch host Caersws FC in the Cymru North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Penrhyncoch have averaged 1.23 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Caersws FC's 1.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Penrhyncoch have won 3 to Caersws FC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.88 - 2.56) back Caersws FC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
35%
Draws
65%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Penrhyncoch.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Caersws FC taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Caersws FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Feb 18, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
4:1
Sep 17, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Caersws FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caersws FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Caersws FC
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
10 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 1
Penrhyncoch
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Caersws FC

(Away)
31 Oct
Caersws FC
1 : 1
Bangor 1876
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)