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Penrhyncoch vs Cefn Druids

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Stephens A.
30' Event
Edwards D.
38' Event
Stephens A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Penrhyncoch and Cefn Druids finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cefn Druids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
20%
Draws
80%
Cefn Druids
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cefn Druids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cefn Druids carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Penrhyncoch taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cefn Druids have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 20%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Cefn Druids
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Cefn Druids
2:5
Oct 29, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Penrhyncoch
4:1
Mar 29, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Cefn Druids vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Sep 28, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Penrhyncoch vs Cefn Druids
0:3
Apr 13, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Penrhyncoch vs Cefn Druids
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cefn Druids Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 36 / 100
Cefn Druids 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Cefn Druids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cefn Druids conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Penrhyncoch scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Away concern: Cefn Druids has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
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Cefn Druids

(Away)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)