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Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Town FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Edwards Z.
43'
Cooke J.
72' Event
Kellaway G.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Penrhyncoch
22%
Draws
18%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Penrhyncoch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC have won more games recently than Penrhyncoch.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Penrhyncoch taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Holywell Town FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Town FC
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Penrhyncoch
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Penrhyncoch
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Town FC
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Town FC
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 56 / 100
Holywell Town FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Holywell Town FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Holywell Town FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Penrhyncoch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Holywell Town FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423