Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2013/2014

Penrith

Wed, Oct 2, 2013

3 - 2

06:45 PM

Scarborough Athletic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Penrith advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Penrith

30%

Draws

70%

Scarborough Athletic

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scarborough Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Scarborough Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
70% — that's where the model lands on Scarborough Athletic taking it.
Scarborough Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Penrith, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Penrith Clean Sheet 20%

Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penrith	Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played	9	31
Wins	2	11
Draws	1	10
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.11	1.32
Goals Conceded	3.67	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.35	1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2013 FA Cup

Penrith vs Scarborough Athletic

3:2

Sep 28, 2013 FA Cup

Scarborough Athletic vs Penrith

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrith 10 / 100

Scarborough Athletic 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penrith Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scarborough Athletic Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Penrith scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Scarborough Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Scarborough Athletic lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Scarborough Athletic

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrith

(Home)

05 Jul

Penrith

0 : 8

Carlisle

01 Jul

Penrith

1 : 5

Carlisle

13 Jul

Penrith

0 : 8

Carlisle

13 Jul

Penrith

0 : 4

Carlisle

16 Aug

Newcastle Benfield

2 : 1

Penrith

Page 1 of 2

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)

26 Sept

Brackley

1 : 1

Scarborough Athletic

19 Sept

Dunston

0 : 2

Scarborough Athletic

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Macclesfield

0 : 0

Scarborough Athletic

05 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 1

Telford

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Carlton Town 3

Brigg Town 2

Basford Utd. 0

Matlock 2

Chorley 1

United of Manchester 0

TBD -

Vauxhall -

Stamford 3

Grantham Town 2

Walsall Wood 4

Wulfrunians 5

AFC Fylde 3

Blyth Spartans 1

Witton Albion 1

Ashton United 2

Hednesford -

TBD -

Telford -

Skelmersdale 3

Northwich Victoria 0

Whitby 2

West Auckland Town 5

Grimsby -

TBD -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Crook Town 1

Brighouse Town 4

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Hinckley 0

Rushall 3

Rugby 2

Nantwich 1

Dunkirk 1

Blaby & Whetstone 2

Coventry Sphinx 2

Tividale 1

TBD -

Worcester -

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Bradford PA -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Scarborough Athletic 4

Team Northumbria 0

Padiham 1

Penrith 3

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Hyde -

Workington -

TBD -

Radcliffe 1

Burscough 2

Roofing 1

Morpeth 0

Bishop Auckland 2

FC Guisborough Town 4

Curzon Ashton 4

Marine 2

Spennymoor 0

Lancaster 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 4

Newcastle Town 2

Evesham 0

Stourbridge 3

Southport -

TBD -

Halesowen 2

Brocton 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Tipton Town 2

Frickley 4

Sheffield FC 1

Albion Sports 0

Marske United 3

Colwyn Bay -

TBD -

Harrogate -

Warrington Town 1

New Mills 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Ossett Town 4

Trafford 5

Droylsden 1

TBD -

Altrincham -

Mickleover 2

Loughborough Students 0

Barwell 0

Corby 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Worksop 5

Bootle 1

TBD -

Stalybridge -

Leamington -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Halifax -

North Ferriby United -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 0

Buxton 1

Cammell Laird 3

Worksop Parramore 1

Glossop North End 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

TBD -

Alfreton -

Brackley -

TBD -

Eastwood 2

Gresley 3

Stafford 2

Chasetown 0

TBD -

Boston United -

Atherstone 5

Redditch 4

Long Eaton 2

Coalville Town 3

Ramsbottom Utd 5

Stocksbridge 2

TBD -

Barrow -

Chester -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hemel Hempstead 7

Margaretsbury 0

Mildenhall 2

FC Witham Town 4

Margate 2

Kingstonian 1

Shoreham 0

Dulwich Hamlet 6

Lewes 3

Peacehaven & Telscombe 2

Metropolitan Police 0

Chalfont St Peter 1

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Sutton -

Hornchurch 3

East Thurrock Utd 2

Gorleston 0

Spalding United 1

Haringey Borough 2

Wembley 0

Kings Langley 1

Wealdstone 6

TBD -

Hereford -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Eastbourne United 0

Folkestone 2

Farnborough -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Dartford -

Barnet -

TBD -

Histon -

TBD -

Chesham 1

Royston Town 2

St Ives Town 4

Dereham 1

TBD -

Concord Rangers -

Chatham 2

East Preston 1

Horley Town 0

Whyteleafe 3

Faversham 3

Cray Wanderers 0

South Park 3

Horsham FC 6

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Hayes & Yeading -

Billericay 2

Leiston 0

Enfield Town 1

St. Albans 6

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Hastings 2

Guernsey FC 3

Cambridge City 5

King’s Lynn 1

Cockfosters 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 10

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Winchester City 1

Mangotsfield 2

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Oxford City -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Uxbridge 2

Barton 3

Merstham 1

Corinthian-Casuals 0

Three Bridges 0

Maidstone 1

Bromley -

TBD -

Alton FC 1

Burgess Hill 8

Harlow 2

Lowestoft 1

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Heybridge 2

Bath City -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Bristol Manor Farm 5

Corsham Town 4

Merthyr Town 1

Bridgwater United 2

TBD -

Salisbury -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Havant & Waterlooville -

Bideford 3

Larkhall 0

Chippenham Town 2

Yate 3

Arlesey 3

Hitchin 1

Bury Town 0

Thurrock 2

Bedford 6

Greenhouse 2

Ashford Town 2

Hampton & Richmond 4

Weymouth 1

Fareham 0

Frome Town 1

Bognor Regis 5

Portchester 5

Horndean 0

Banbury 1

Cirencester 2

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chipstead 2

Hassocks 1

Highmoor Ibis 0

Chertsey Town 4

Hendon 7

Biggleswade United 1

TBD -

Stortford -

Needham Market 3

Brantham 2

Hertford Town 2

Dunstable Town 1

Sleaford Town 2

Huntingdon 1

Burnham Ramblers 1

Sudbury 2

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Biggleswade Town 4

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Binfield 6

Ardley United 3

Carshalton 1

Leatherhead 2

North Greenford Utd. 4

Harrow Borough 3

Brentwood 4

FC Clacton 5

Neots 3

Wroxham 1

Aveley 2

Canvey Island 5

Shortwood 5

Aylesbury Vale 1

TBD -

Dorchester -

Burnham FC 4

Beaconsfield Town 2

North Leigh 1

Didcot 2

TBD -

Aldershot -

Woking -

TBD -

Luton -

Brislington 2

Wells City 1

Street 0

Truro 1

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Welling -

Hartley Wintney 2

Camberley Town 0

Tunbridge Wells 2

Eastbourne Town 3

Sholing 4

AFC Totton 0

Plymouth Parkway 0

Clevedon 1

Daventry 6

Berkhamsted Town 1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Belper Town 2

Tilbury 2

Waltham Abbey 1

Romford 1

Grays 2

Staines -

TBD -

Westfields 1

Aylesbury United 3

Thamesmead 2

Redhill 0

Littlehampton 2

Sittingbourne 3

Hungerford 4

Cove 0

Moneyfields 0

Bashley 2

Hamworthy United 2

Hallen 1

Brockenhurst 0

Poole Town 2

Quarter-finals

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Carlton Town 1

Matlock 0

Chorley 0

Vauxhall 4

Stamford 4

Wulfrunians 1

AFC Fylde 0

Ashton United 1

Hednesford 3

Telford 1

Skelmersdale 0

West Auckland Town 5

Grimsby -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Brighouse Town 0

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 0

Rugby 6

Blaby & Whetstone 0

Coventry Sphinx 0

Worcester 4

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Bradford PA 2

Guiseley 1

Scarborough Athletic 3

Penrith 4

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Hyde -

Workington 2

Burscough 1

Roofing 4

FC Guisborough Town 6

Curzon Ashton 2

Lancaster 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Stourbridge 3

Southport -

TBD -

Halesowen 5

Tipton Town 0

Frickley 0

Marske United 3

Colwyn Bay 1

Harrogate 0

Warrington Town 2

Ossett Town 4

Trafford 2

Altrincham 1

Mickleover 5

Corby 8

Tamworth -

TBD -

Worksop 5

Stalybridge 3

Leamington 2

Solihull Moors 3

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Halifax -

North Ferriby United 4

Buxton 1

Cammell Laird 0

Runcorn Linnets 1

TBD -

Alfreton -

Brackley 2

Gresley 1

Stafford 0

Boston United 4

Atherstone 1

Coalville Town 0

Ramsbottom Utd 0

Barrow 3

Chester -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hemel Hempstead 5

FC Witham Town 4

Margate 1

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Lewes 1

Chalfont St Peter 0

Whitehawk 0

Sutton 1

Hornchurch 4

Spalding United 1

Haringey Borough 1

Wealdstone 4

TBD -

Hereford -

Ebbsfleet 1

Folkestone 0

Farnborough 0

Eastbourne Borough 2

TBD -

Dartford -

Barnet -

TBD -

Histon 4

Royston Town 0

St Ives Town 3

Concord Rangers 4

Chatham 2

Whyteleafe 1

Faversham 0

Horsham FC 2

Tonbridge 2

Hayes & Yeading 1

Billericay 0

St. Albans 2

Dover Ath. 3

Guernsey FC 2

Cambridge City 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Eastleigh 4

Mangotsfield 0

Maidenhead 0

Oxford City 1

Boreham Wood 3

Barton 0

Merstham 1

Maidstone 4

Bromley 1

Burgess Hill 0

Harlow 2

Heybridge 3

Bath City 2

Gosport Borough 0

Bristol Manor Farm 5

Bridgwater United 6

TBD -

Salisbury -

Gloucester City 4

Havant & Waterlooville 3

Bideford 1

Yate 2

Arlesey 1

Thurrock 0

Bedford 0

Hampton & Richmond 1

Weymouth 6

Bognor Regis 3

Portchester 0

Cirencester 2

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chipstead 2

Chertsey Town 1

Hendon 0

Stortford 5

Needham Market 3

Dunstable Town 1

Sleaford Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Biggleswade Town 2

Chelmsford 0

Binfield 1

Leatherhead 2

North Greenford Utd. 4

FC Clacton 2

Neots 3

Canvey Island 4

Shortwood 1

Dorchester 0

Burnham FC 1

Didcot 2

TBD -

Aldershot -

Woking -

TBD -

Luton -

Brislington 3

Truro 2

Basingstoke 1

Weston-super-Mare 3

TBD -

Welling -

Hartley Wintney 5

Eastbourne Town 1

Sholing 0

Clevedon 2

Daventry 3

Belper Town 1

Tilbury 0

Grays 3

Staines 3

Aylesbury United 0

Thamesmead 1

Sittingbourne 2

Hungerford 3

Bashley 0

Hamworthy United 2

Poole Town 4

Semi-finals

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Carlton Town 1

Vauxhall 3

Stamford 4

Ashton United 2

Hednesford 5

West Auckland Town 4

Grimsby -

TBD -

Stockport County 0

Rushall 1

Rugby 0

Worcester 2

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Bradford PA 2

Penrith 1

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Hyde -

Workington 4

FC Guisborough Town 1

Curzon Ashton 0

Stourbridge 3

Southport -

TBD -

Halesowen 2

Marske United 3

Colwyn Bay 2

Ossett Town 1

Trafford 2

Corby 4

Tamworth -

TBD -

Worksop 0

Solihull Moors 4

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Halifax -

North Ferriby United 2

Runcorn Linnets 0

TBD -

Alfreton -

Brackley 2

Boston United 0

Atherstone 0

Barrow 4

Chester -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hemel Hempstead 3

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Lewes 0

Sutton 1

Hornchurch 6

Wealdstone 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Ebbsfleet 2

Eastbourne Borough 0

TBD -

Dartford -

Barnet -

TBD -

Histon 1

Concord Rangers 2

Chatham 1

Horsham FC 0

Tonbridge 1

St. Albans 2

Dover Ath. 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Eastleigh 2

Oxford City 3

Boreham Wood 2

Maidstone 0

Bromley 1

Heybridge 2

Bath City 3

Bridgwater United 0

TBD -

Salisbury -

Gloucester City 9

Yate 2

Arlesey 1

Hampton & Richmond 5

Weymouth 2

Cirencester 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chipstead 1

Stortford 6

Needham Market 2

Sudbury 1

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Biggleswade Town 5

Leatherhead 1

North Greenford Utd. 1

Canvey Island 2

Shortwood 1

Didcot 0

TBD -

Aldershot -

Woking -

TBD -

Luton -

Brislington 3

Weston-super-Mare 2

TBD -

Welling -

Hartley Wintney 5

Clevedon 4

Daventry 4

Grays 0

Staines 4

Sittingbourne 1

Hungerford 0

Poole Town 2

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Macclesfield 7

Vauxhall 0

Stamford 0

Hednesford 2

Grimsby 3

Rushall 0

Worcester 1

Lincoln City 4

Bradford PA 2

Kidderminster 3

Wrexham 2

Hyde 0

Workington 1

Stourbridge 3

Southport 6

Marske United 2

Colwyn Bay 1

Corby 3

Tamworth 4

Solihull Moors 1

Nuneaton 0

Halifax 2

North Ferriby United 1

Alfreton 3

Brackley 1

Barrow 0

Chester 0

Gateshead 1

Hemel Hempstead 3

Sutton 5

Hornchurch 0

Hereford 1

Ebbsfleet 1

Dartford 2

Barnet 3

Concord Rangers 0

Chatham 0

St. Albans 2

Dover Ath. 3

Oxford City 0

Boreham Wood 1

Heybridge 0

Bath City 0

Salisbury 1

Gloucester City 3

Hampton & Richmond 1

Weymouth 1

Braintree 2

Forest Green 0

Stortford 1

Needham Market 0

Cambridge Utd 1

Biggleswade Town 1

Canvey Island 0

Shortwood 3

Aldershot 2

Woking 0

Luton 1

Brislington 0

Welling 1

Hartley Wintney 1

Daventry 6

Staines 1

Poole Town 0

Penrith vs Scarborough Athletic

England

Penrith

Scarborough Athletic

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Penrith

Scarborough Athletic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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