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Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Atletico Isleno

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 game between Penya Ciutadella Esportiva and Atletico Isleno finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya Ciutadella Esportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
40%
Draws
29%
Atletico Isleno
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Isleno come out ahead of Penya Ciutadella Esportiva on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Atletico Isleno
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
2:1
Dec 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Atletico Isleno
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 31 / 100
Atletico Isleno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Atletico Isleno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Isleno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Atletico Isleno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

(Home)
14 May
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
06 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
29 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0 : 0
Collerense
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
08 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3 : 0
Campos
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Atletico Isleno

(Away)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pena Deportiva38266669:3084
2UD Poblense382261053:2972
3Formentera381911862:2868
4Alcudia381991048:2866
5Campos381714737:2365
6Manacor381771449:4858
7El Espinar Sant Rafel3814131148:3755
8Llosetense3814131157:4855
9Penya Ciutadella Esportiva3814111348:3853
10Collerense3813121338:4151
11Ferriolense381491553:4951
12Mercadal3813111439:5450
13CD Montuiri3812131340:3849
14Santanyi3811131449:5446
15Felanitx3811111639:4944
16Atletico Isleno3810131539:4543
17Andratx3811101753:6143
18Espana389131638:4940
19Soller388121849:6336
20Son Ferrer38133420:1166
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)