Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

2 - 0

UD Alaro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 game between Penya Ciutadella Esportiva and UD Alaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya Ciutadella Esportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Draws

UD Alaro

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Penya Ciutadella Esportiva's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Penya Ciutadella Esportiva have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 15%

UD Alaro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	UD Alaro
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	7	2
Draws	9	7
Losses	18	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	2.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs UD Alaro

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Oct 24, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

UD Alaro vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Mar 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

UD Alaro vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Nov 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs UD Alaro

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 84 / 100

UD Alaro 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva UD Alaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Alaro conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

UD Alaro's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	38	24	8	6	79:29	80
2	Formentera	38	23	9	6	69:29	78
3	Pena Deportiva	38	21	11	6	63:32	74
4	Constancia	38	17	14	7	58:30	65
5	UD Poblense	38	16	14	8	57:30	62
6	Alcudia	38	18	7	13	52:39	61
7	Mercadal	38	17	10	11	49:42	61
8	Binissalem	38	16	11	11	49:38	59
9	CD Montuiri	38	15	12	11	49:49	57
10	Collerense	38	16	7	15	52:51	55
11	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	13	14	11	43:37	53
12	Ferriolense	38	11	12	15	36:42	45
13	Campos	38	10	14	14	47:59	44
14	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	11	10	17	46:61	43
15	Esporles	38	11	7	20	35:56	40
16	Rotlet Molinar	38	9	11	18	42:70	38
17	Santa Catalina Atletico	38	9	10	19	33:52	37
18	Platges de Calvia	38	7	14	17	28:55	35
19	Soller	38	5	9	24	32:81	24
20	UD Alaro	38	4	10	24	18:55	22