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Penya vs Atletic Escaldes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Gallego A.
46'
Sub
Assoubre J. L. In: Martinez A.
Out: Assoubre J. L.
51' Event
Morales B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió game between Penya and Atletic Escaldes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Penya
35%
Draws
40%
Atletic Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletic Escaldes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletic Escaldes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletic Escaldes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Penya Clean Sheet 16%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Atletic Escaldes
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 15 / 100
Atletic Escaldes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Atletic Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletic Escaldes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletic Escaldes conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Penya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Penya found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Penya VS Atletic Escaldes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
11 Oct
Penya
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
Page 1 of 6

Atletic Escaldes

(Away)
11 Oct
Atletic Escaldes
1 : 1
Esperanca
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
3 Atletic Escaldes 4 2 2 0 9:3 8
4 FC Rangers 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
6 Esperanca 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Penya 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
8 Casa de Portugal 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
9 Carroi 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)