Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Penya host Esperanca in the Primera Divisió. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Penya at 0.77 goals for, 1.88 against; Esperanca at 1.08 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Penya slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Penya. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Esperanca at 1.08 per game, Penya at 0.77.
- Esperanca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Penya have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penya | Esperanca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Esperanca conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Penya scored in 50% of their last 26 games.
Penya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Penya
(Home)Esperanca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Escaldes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Atletic Escaldes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Ordino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Esperanca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Penya | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 8 | Casa de Portugal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 9 | Carroi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 0 |