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Penya vs FC Santa Coloma Prediction & H2H Stats

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Becerra J. In: Andreu S.
Out: Becerra J.
24'
Mesquita Lopes de Souza R. M.
36'
Ahumada R.

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Santa Coloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Penya
20%
Draws
65%
FC Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • FC Santa Coloma have won more games recently than Penya.
  • Model gives FC Santa Coloma a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Santa Coloma have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Penya Clean Sheet 14%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.79 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs FC Santa Coloma
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs FC Santa Coloma
0:6
Oct 22, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Penya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 10 / 100
FC Santa Coloma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya FC Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Penya scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

FC Santa Coloma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Penya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS FC Santa Coloma
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

FC Santa Coloma

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1 : 3
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)