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Penya vs Inter Escaldes

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aizpuru A.
28'
Camara J.
45'
Lopez Herrera D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Penya and Inter Escaldes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Penya
30%
Draws
61%
Inter Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Penya haven't matched Inter Escaldes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Inter Escaldes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Escaldes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Inter Escaldes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.74 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
4:0
May 16, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Inter Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Aizpuru A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 10 / 100
Inter Escaldes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Inter Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Escaldes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Escaldes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Penya's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Penya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS Inter Escaldes
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
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Inter Escaldes

(Away)
20 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
FC Rangers
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 Aug
Inter Escaldes
1 : 0
Drita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)