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Penya vs Pas de la Casa

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Sun, Dec 21, 2025
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penya host Pas de la Casa in the Primera Divisió 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penya have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Pas de la Casa's 1.2 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Penya have won 2 to Pas de la Casa's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 0.94) point toward Penya. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Penya
30%
Draws
47%
Pas de la Casa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pas de la Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pas de la Casa haven't matched Penya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pas de la Casa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Penya Clean Sheet 20%
Pas de la Casa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Pas de la Casa
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 8 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.76 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Primera Divisió
Pas de la Casa vs Penya
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Pas de la Casa
0:0
Nov 13, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Pas de la Casa
0:0
May 3, 2025 Primera Divisió
Pas de la Casa vs Penya
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Pas de la Casa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 24 / 100
Pas de la Casa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Pas de la Casa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pas de la Casa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pas de la Casa has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Pas de la Casa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Penya found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS Pas de la Casa
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Pas de la Casa

(Away)
02 Nov
Pas de la Casa
0 : 3
UE Santa Coloma
26 Oct
Carroi
0 : 0
Pas de la Casa
18 May
Pas de la Casa
1 : 5
Atletic Escaldes
11 May
La Massana
0 : 5
Pas de la Casa
03 May
Pas de la Casa
0 : 2
Penya

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)