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Penya vs Sporting Escaldes

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Penya Logo

Penya

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Sporting Escaldes Logo

Sporting Escaldes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penya host Sporting Escaldes in the Primera Divisió. Penya are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Penya at 0.81 goals for, 1.78 against; Sporting Escaldes at 0.7 for, 4.7 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 1.15, favoring Penya. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Penya
15%
Draws
0%
Sporting Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Penya taking it.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Penya Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Sporting Escaldes
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 27
Goals Scored 0.81 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.78 4.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 85 / 100
Sporting Escaldes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Sporting Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Escaldes let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Sporting Escaldes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Penya scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Penya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS Sporting Escaldes
0.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
26 Apr
Ordino
0 : 1
Penya
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
13 Apr
Esperanca
0 : 1
Penya
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Escaldes

(Away)
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
11 Jan
FC Santa Coloma
5 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Mar
Sant Julia
13 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 Feb
Principat
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 FC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Atletic Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Penya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Ordino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Carroi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sporting Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Esperanca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Casa de Portugal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)