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Penya vs Sporting Escaldes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
2 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
18'
32' Event

AI Match Summary

Penya host Sporting Escaldes in the Primera Divisió. Penya are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Penya at 0.76 goals for, 1.92 against; Sporting Escaldes at 0.68 for, 4.82 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.40 vs 0.72, favoring Penya. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Penya
20%
Draws
0%
Sporting Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Penya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Penya taking it.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penya Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Sporting Escaldes
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 6 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 0.76 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.92 4.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 58 / 100
Sporting Escaldes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Sporting Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Escaldes let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Sporting Escaldes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Penya scored in 48% of their last 25 games.

Penya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS Sporting Escaldes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 5

Sporting Escaldes

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
2 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)