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Penybont vs Airbus UK Broughton FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Shephard L.
Own Goal
54' Event
Hill R.
61'
Sub
Baker A. In: Pritchard O.
Out: Baker A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Penybont and Airbus UK Broughton FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penybont.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Penybont
15%
Draws
36%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Airbus UK Broughton FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Penybont taking it.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Penybont Clean Sheet 68%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont Airbus UK Broughton FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 22
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.24 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
2:1
Jan 3, 2023 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
2:0
Oct 15, 2022 Cymru Premier
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Penybont
0:3
Apr 25, 2020 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 Cymru Premier
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Penybont
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cann E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Airbus UK Broughton FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 50 / 100
Airbus UK Broughton FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont Airbus UK Broughton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penybont found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Penybont remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Airbus UK Broughton FC let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS Airbus UK Broughton FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Airbus UK Broughton FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Llandudno FC
1 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)