Sport Picks
Penybont vs Briton Ferry
Wales
Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend 
Match Events
8'
8'
Melbourne M.
9'
9'
Walters T.
12'
12'
Leko J.
AI Match Summary
Penybont in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penybont.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Briton Ferry at 1.29 per game, Penybont at 1.1.
- 74% — that's where the model lands on Penybont taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penybont | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Briton Ferry
3:2
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Briton Ferry
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Briton Ferry vs Penybont
0:5
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Penybont
0:0
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Penybont vs Briton Ferry
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Venables C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Briton Ferry Compare
Top Goalscorer Walters T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penybont 85 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penybont Briton Ferry
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Penybont stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Penybont scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Penybont VS Briton Ferry
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Penybont
(Home) 18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1 Flint Town
21 Aug
Penybont
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0 TNS
Page 1 of 3
Briton Ferry
(Away) 18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
21 Aug
Flint Town
0 : 1 Briton Ferry
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11:35 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
