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Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bryntirion Park
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mwandwe L.
31'
Green C.
46'
Sub
Ludvigsen K. In: Woodiwiss J.
Out: Ludvigsen K.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Penybont and Cardiff Metropolitan University finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Penybont
39%
Draws
30%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff Metropolitan University come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Penybont Clean Sheet 15%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont
0:4
Mar 14, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont
2:1
Dec 31, 2024 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwandwe L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 31 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont Cardiff Metropolitan University

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Metropolitan University's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Penybont has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Penybont's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TNS22172359:1953
2Connahs Q.22145348:2547
3Penybont22115636:3138
4Caernarfon2297644:3234
5Barry Town2279633:2530
6Colwyn Bay2286829:2530
7Cardiff Metropolitan University22610633:3628
8Briton Ferry2267932:4025
9Haverfordwest22661030:3924
10Bala22651119:3023
11Flint Town22561134:4821
12Llanelli22221812:598