Sport Picks

Penycae FC vs Dolgellau Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

FAW Welsh Cup

Penycae FC

1 - 4

Dolgellau Athletic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Penycae FC

15%

Draws

57%

Dolgellau Athletic

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dolgellau Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Penycae FC have won more games recently than Dolgellau Athletic.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Penycae FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Dolgellau Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Dolgellau Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penycae FC	Dolgellau Athletic
Matches Played	29	7
Wins	3	2
Draws	2	0
Losses	24	5
Goals Scored	1.38	2.14
Goals Conceded	3	3.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.77	2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup

Penycae FC vs Dolgellau Athletic

1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penycae FC 30 / 100

Dolgellau Athletic 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penycae FC Dolgellau Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolgellau Athletic let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Penycae FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Dolgellau Athletic's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penycae FC VS Dolgellau Athletic

0.88 Goals Scored 1.83

2.88 Goals Conceded 2.67

88% Over 1.5 67%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penycae FC

(Home)

16 Sept

Penycae FC

1 : 4

Rhos Aelwyd

08 Oct

Penycae FC

1 : 4

Guilsfield

17 Sept

Trearddur Bay

1 : 5

Penycae FC

19 Oct

Bangor 1876

4 : 3

Penycae FC

20 Oct

Penycae FC

0 : 4

Airbus UK Broughton FC

Page 1 of 6

Dolgellau Athletic

(Away)

22 Nov

Dolgellau Athletic

0 : 2

Caerau Ely

18 Oct

Caersws FC

0 : 1

Dolgellau Athletic

27 Sept

Dolgellau Athletic

8 : 3

Queens Park

12 Jul

Dolgellau Athletic

1 : 4

Penrhyncoch

19 Oct

Cefn Albion

7 : 1

Dolgellau Athletic

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Airbus UK Broughton FC 1

TNS 2

Coedpoeth -

Guilsfield -

Llannefydd -

Llandudno FC -

Newtown -

Llanuwchllyn -

Bala -

Holyhead -

Connahs Q. 4

Porthmadog 0

Penycae FC -

Dolgellau Athletic -

Aberystwyth -

Prestatyn -

Flint Town -

Caernarfon -

Llay Welfare -

Holywell Town FC -

Buckley -

Colwyn Bay -

Brickfield Rangers -

Llangefni -

Denbigh 0

Bangor 1876 2

Cefn Albion -

Felinheli -

Llysfaen -

Mochdre Sports -

Pontarddulais -

Goytre Utd -

Trefelin -

Llantwit Major -

Afan Lido -

Penybont -

Caerau Ely 6

Llanelli 0

Blaen-y-Maes -

Ely Rangers -

Radnor Valley -

Cardiff Draconians -

Barry Town -

Tredegar Town -

Cwmaman Institute -

Ammanford Town -

Llangennech -

Pontardawe -

Caerphilly -

Chepstow Town -

Evans Williams 3

Rockspur 4

Briton Ferry 5

Afan United 0

Llantwit Fardre -

Baglan Dragons -

Cardiff Metropolitan University 4

Ynyshir Albions 0

Cambrian United 5

Trethomas Bluebirds 0

Carmarthen Town -

Newport City -

Haverfordwest -

Cardiff Corries -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Penycae FC vs Dolgellau Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

Penycae FC

Dolgellau Athletic

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Penycae FC

Dolgellau Athletic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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