Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2022/2023

Guilsfield

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penycae FC play Guilsfield in the FA Cup 2022/2023. Guilsfield are favorites here. Recently, Penycae FC averaged 2 goals scored and 3.64 conceded. Guilsfield averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Penycae FC won 0, Guilsfield won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2022 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Penycae FC and 1.43 for Guilsfield. This points to a Guilsfield double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Penycae FC

15%

Draws

71%

Guilsfield

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Penycae FC picked up more points recently compared to Guilsfield.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Penycae FC Clean Sheet 17%

Guilsfield Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penycae FC	Guilsfield
Matches Played	14	32
Wins	2	14
Draws	0	4
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	2	1.72
Goals Conceded	3.64	1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 FA Cup

Penycae FC vs Guilsfield

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Oct 4, 2014 FA Cup

Guilsfield vs Penycae FC

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penycae FC 16 / 100

Guilsfield 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penycae FC Guilsfield

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)

Secondary Pick Guilsfield & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Penycae FC attacking → ← attacking Guilsfield

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penycae FC scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Guilsfield let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Penycae FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guilsfield lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 46

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00