Sport Picks
Penydarren vs Pure Swansea Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Penydarren in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pure Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Penydarren.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
- Pure Swansea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penydarren, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penydarren | Pure Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Penydarren vs Pure Swansea
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penydarren 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penydarren Pure Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Penydarren scored in 87% of their last 15 outings.
Pure Swansea has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Penydarren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penydarren VS Pure Swansea
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Penydarren
(Home) 20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5 Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3 Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0 Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5 Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3 Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0 Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3
Pure Swansea
(Away) 25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
