Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penza vs Ryazan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Evgenjev E.
40' Event
Kotov A.
73' Event
Rodionov A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and Ryazan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Penza
15%
Draws
61%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ryazan come out ahead of Penza on wins alone.
  • Ryazan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ryazan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Ryazan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 13
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Ryazan
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Penza
2:1
May 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Ryazan
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Penza
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Ryazan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 10 / 100
Ryazan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Ryazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Penza scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ryazan let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Penza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Ryazan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
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Ryazan

(Away)
28 Aug
Ryazan
1 : 0
Salyut-Belgorod
25 Aug
Ryazan
2 : 1
Spartak Tambov
22 Aug
FC Oryol
0 : 2
Ryazan
15 Aug
Ryazan
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow 3
11 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
0 : 2
Ryazan
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