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Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ulezko M.
53' Event
Egorov E.
66' Event
Kolesin N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and SKA Khabarovsk 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Penza
20%
Draws
48%
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk 2's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Penza have produced (1).
  • Model gives Penza a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Penza Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Khabarovsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza SKA Khabarovsk 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1
May 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs Penza
5:0
Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs Penza
5:1
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Egorov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SKA Khabarovsk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulezko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 42 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza SKA Khabarovsk 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SKA Khabarovsk 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Penza's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SKA Khabarovsk 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS SKA Khabarovsk 2
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
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SKA Khabarovsk 2

(Away)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk 2
3 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
03 Oct
Salyut-Belgorod
3 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
1 : 3
M. Lipetsk
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