Sport Picks

Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026

Penza

1 - 0

Strogino Moscow

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Kashitsyn T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penza in this Russian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Penza

15%

Draws

65%

Strogino Moscow

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strogino Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Strogino Moscow average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Penza's 1.
65% — that's where the model lands on Strogino Moscow taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Penza, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Penza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penza	Strogino Moscow
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	7
Draws	2	5
Losses	20	17
Goals Scored	1	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Penza vs Strogino Moscow

1:0

Oct 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Penza vs Strogino Moscow

2:1

Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup

Penza vs Strogino Moscow

1:0

Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Strogino Moscow vs Penza

3:0

Sep 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Penza vs Strogino Moscow

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashitsyn T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Strogino Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 22 / 100

Strogino Moscow 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penza Strogino Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strogino Moscow Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Strogino Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Penza has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Strogino Moscow

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)

15 Aug

Kursk

1 : 0

Penza

08 Aug

Penza

0 : 2

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

29 Jul

SKA Rostov-on-Don

3 : 2

Penza

25 Jul

R. Volgograd 2

0 : 1

Penza

01 Jul

Penza

1 : 2

Salyut-Belgorod

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Strogino Moscow

(Away)

15 Aug

FK Shumbrat Saransk

1 : 1

Strogino Moscow

12 Aug

Strogino Moscow

0 : 3

Vladimir

08 Aug

Spartak Tambov

0 : 1

Strogino Moscow

01 Aug

Kursk

1 : 3

Strogino Moscow

25 Jul

Strogino Moscow

2 : 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

SKA Khabarovsk -

TBD -

Rodina Moscow -

Ulan Ude 0

FC Irkutsk 8

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

Anri Vladivostok 0

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Kamaz -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Znamya Truda -

TBD -

Dynamo Barnaul -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Temp Barnaul 3

Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2

TBD -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

Fakel Voronezh -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Angust Nazran -

Kuban -

TBD -

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2

Maykop 1

TBD -

Ural -

Tyumen -

TBD -

Nosta 2

Ilpar FC 3

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

Broke Boys 3

FC Oryol 2

TBD -

Kursk -

D. Bryansk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

TBD -

Saratov -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Legion Makhachkala -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Chernomorets Novorossijsk -

Mashuk -

TBD -

Spartak Nalchik -

Kuban Kholding -

TBD -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

Spartak Tambov -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Kosmos -

TBD -

2Drots 1

Vladimir 0

Veles Moscow -

TBD -

Krasnoye Znamya 3

FK Kolomna 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Kaluga -

TBD -

Amkal Moscow 3

Kvant Obninsk 1

Salyut-Belgorod -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kirov -

TBD -

FK Fankom -

Sokol Kazan -

Khimik -

TBD -

Amkar -

TBD -

Ufa -

Leningradets -

TBD -

Kristall 1

Luki-Energiya 3

RWChallenge 1

Zvezda St Peterburg 4

SSh Leningradets 0

Cherepovets 3

TBD -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Penza -

TBD -

Strogino Moscow -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

1/16-finals

SKA Khabarovsk -

TBD -

Rodina Moscow -

FC Irkutsk 2

Sibir Novosibirsk 0

KDV Tomsk 3

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Kamaz -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Znamya Truda 2

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Irtysh Omsk 0

Temp Barnaul 1

TBD -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

Dynamo Vologda 1

Dynamo Petersburg 0

Tekstilshtik 1

FK Tver 0

TBD -

Fakel Voronezh -

Dynamo Stavropol 2

Angust Nazran 1

Kuban 1

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2

TBD -

Ural -

Tyumen 4

Ilpar FC 1

Torpedo Miass 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

Broke Boys 2

Kursk 1

D. Bryansk 0

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

TBD -

Saratov -

Astrakhan 1

FK Pobeda 0

Legion Makhachkala 3

Alania Vladikavkaz 2

TBD -

Chernomorets Novorossijsk -

Mashuk 1

Spartak Nalchik 0

Kuban Kholding 1

Nart Cherkessk 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

Spartak Tambov 2

M. Lipetsk 1

FC Murom 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Kosmos 1

2Drots 0

Veles Moscow 2

Krasnoye Znamya 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Kaluga 0

Amkal Moscow 1

Salyut-Belgorod 3

Ryazan 0

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kirov 1

FK Fankom 2

Khimik 2

Amkar 1

TBD -

Ufa -

Leningradets 0

Luki-Energiya 2

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Cherepovets 2

TBD -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Penza 1

Strogino Moscow 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FC Chertanovo Moscow 1

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

1/8-finals

SKA Khabarovsk -

TBD -

Rodina Moscow -

FC Irkutsk 3

KDV Tomsk 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Kamaz -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Znamya Truda 1

Temp Barnaul 0

TBD -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

Dynamo Vologda 1

Tekstilshtik 2

TBD -

Fakel Voronezh -

Dynamo Stavropol 1

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2

TBD -

Ural -

Tyumen 1

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

Broke Boys 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Astrakhan 5

Legion Makhachkala 2

TBD -

Chernomorets Novorossijsk -

Mashuk 0

Kuban Kholding 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

Spartak Tambov 0

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Kosmos 1

Veles Moscow 4

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Amkal Moscow 2

Salyut-Belgorod 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

FK Fankom 1

Khimik 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Luki-Energiya 2

Cherepovets 4

TBD -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Penza 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Quarter-finals

SKA Khabarovsk 0

Rodina Moscow 3

FC Irkutsk 2

Chelyabinsk 3

Kamaz 1

S. Kostroma 0

Znamya Truda 0

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Fakel Voronezh 2

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 1

Ural 2

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0

Arsenal Tula 3

Broke Boys 0

Saratov 2

Astrakhan 0

Chernomorets Novorossijsk 2

Kuban Kholding 3

Ulyanovsk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Torpedo Moscow 3

Veles Moscow 2

R. Volgograd 1

Amkal Moscow 1

Yenisey 2

FK Fankom 0

Ufa 3

Cherepovets 1

Shinnik Yaroslavl 4

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1

Neftekhimik 2

Semi-finals

Rodina Moscow 0

Chelyabinsk 1

Kamaz 3

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1

Fakel Voronezh 1

Ural 0

Arsenal Tula 1

Saratov 0

Chernomorets Novorossijsk 1

Kuban Kholding 2

Torpedo Moscow 3

Veles Moscow 0

Yenisey 1

Ufa 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 1

Neftekhimik 2

Final

Chelyabinsk 0

Kamaz 1

Fakel Voronezh 2

Arsenal Tula 3

Kuban Kholding 1

Torpedo Moscow 2

Ufa 1

Neftekhimik 2

Penza vs Strogino Moscow

Russia

Penza

Strogino Moscow

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Penza Compare

Strogino Moscow Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

Strogino Moscow

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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