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Penzugyor SE vs Szekszardi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Varga O.
53' Event
Antal P.
73' Event
Toth K.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Penzugyor SE and Szekszardi finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Penzugyor SE
40%
Draws
29%
Szekszardi
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Szekszardi come out ahead of Penzugyor SE on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 14%
Szekszardi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Szekszardi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Szekszardi
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Szekszardi vs Penzugyor SE
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Penzugyor SE vs Szekszardi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toth K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Szekszardi Compare

Top Goalscorer Antal P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 31 / 100
Szekszardi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Szekszardi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Szekszardi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Penzugyor SE scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Szekszardi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Szekszardi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30216364:2769
2Pecsi MFC30207371:2567
3Kaposvar30203764:3263
4Ferencvaros II30174963:4355
5Majosi301731078:4954
6MTK Budapest II301641062:3352
7Erdi30157847:3952
8Dunaujvaros301310758:4249
9Ivancsa301161349:4439
10Siofok301151440:5538
11Paks II301021842:6232
12Szekszardi30941743:7531
13PTE-PEAC306101439:5128
14Balatonlelle30661824:5324
15Penzugyor SE30481831:6120
16Dombovari30032722:1063