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Peoria IL vs Sunflower State Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

Peoria IL in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peoria IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Peoria IL
15%
Draws
17%
Sunflower State
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peoria IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Sunflower State haven't matched Peoria IL's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Peoria IL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Peoria IL have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Peoria IL Clean Sheet 20%
Sunflower State Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peoria IL Sunflower State
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 21 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Peoria IL
1:3
Jun 21, 2026 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Sunflower State
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Sunflower State
3:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Peoria IL
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peoria IL 85 / 100
Sunflower State 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peoria IL Sunflower State

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peoria IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peoria IL's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sunflower State has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Peoria IL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peoria IL VS Sunflower State
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Peoria IL

(Home)
24 Jul
Flint City
4 : 0
Peoria IL
19 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 0
Minneapolis City
17 Jul
Peoria IL
3 : 2
Sueno
12 Jul
Peoria IL
5 : 1
Springfield FC
08 Jul
Sunflower State
1 : 3
Peoria IL
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Sunflower State

(Away)
11 Jul
Santafe Wanderers
3 : 2
Sunflower State
08 Jul
Sunflower State
1 : 3
Peoria IL
01 Jul
Sunflower State
2 : 1
Menace
28 Jun
Sunflower State
0 : 5
Santafe Wanderers
25 Jun
Santafe Wanderers
5 : 2
Sunflower State
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