Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PEPO vs HAPK

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Kimpisen stadion, Lappeenranta
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pietilainen N.
(Penalty)
22'
Sub
Saarinen T. In: Paivahonka R.
Out: Saarinen T.
23' Event
Pesonen P.

AI Match Summary

PEPO in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PEPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
PEPO
15%
Draws
17%
HAPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PEPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PEPO lately — more wins on the board than HAPK.
  • Model gives PEPO a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
PEPO Clean Sheet 68%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PEPO HAPK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs HAPK
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs PEPO
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesonen P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotanen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

HAPK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEPO 95 / 100
HAPK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PEPO HAPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PEPO's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

HAPK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: PEPO remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PEPO VS HAPK
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

PEPO

(Home)
07 Aug
PEPO
4 : 1
MyPa
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
24 Jul
PEPO
3 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
18 Jul
Kiffen
2 : 0
PEPO
11 Jul
PEPO
2 : 0
HPS
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HAPK

(Away)
14 Apr
HAPK
1 : 6
SJK
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2
HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0
HAPK
13 Sept
HAPK
0 : 3
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 18 16 1 1 79:13 49
2 VJS 18 13 3 2 54:18 42
3 PuiU Helsinki 18 10 1 7 32:26 31
4 PEPO 18 9 2 7 31:29 29
5 MyPa 18 8 3 7 47:39 27
6 GrIFK 18 7 4 7 37:36 25
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 41:43 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 7 1 10 37:41 22
9 HAPK 18 1 3 14 13:67 6
10 JPS Jyvaskyla 18 1 2 15 18:77 5
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Losers stage)