Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PEPO vs HPS Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Kimpisen stadion, Lappeenranta
PEPO Logo

PEPO

2 - 0
FT
HPS Logo

HPS

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Seppala E.
46'
Sub
Ryhanen T. In: Heiskanen L.
Out: Ryhanen T.
59' Event
Jammeh I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between PEPO and HPS finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PEPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
PEPO
35%
Draws
16%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PEPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PEPO come out ahead of HPS on wins alone.
  • Model gives PEPO a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PEPO here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
PEPO Clean Sheet 18%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PEPO HPS
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs PEPO
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs HPS
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs PEPO
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Seppala E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jammeh I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

HPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEPO 85 / 100
HPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PEPO HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PEPO's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

HPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

PEPO went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PEPO VS HPS
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PEPO

(Home)
19 Sept
PEPO
3 : 4
Kiffen
12 Sept
HPS
1 : 1
PEPO
08 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
HIFK
03 Sept
Atlantis
0 : 0
PEPO
29 Aug
PEPO
1 : 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
Page 1 of 6

HPS

(Away)
19 Sept
Atlantis
4 : 2
HPS
12 Sept
HPS
1 : 1
PEPO
08 Sept
HPS
1 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)