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Peralada vs UE Tona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
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Match Events

55' Event
Cao T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between Peralada and UE Tona finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Peralada
30%
Draws
42%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Peralada's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what UE Tona have produced (1.03).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Peralada Clean Sheet 20%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peralada UE Tona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peralada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cao T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peralada 31 / 100
UE Tona 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peralada UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peralada scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

UE Tona let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Peralada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Peralada VS UE Tona
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peralada

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
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UE Tona

(Away)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montanesa 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Pobla Mafumet 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cornella 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 L Hospitalet 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
5 FC Martinenc 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 CF Vilanova 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 FE Grama 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 FC Lescala 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Vilassar de Mar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 UE Tona 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
12 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
13 Peralada 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 CE Europa B 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
15 San Cristobal CP 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 CE Atletic Lleida 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 CF Badalona 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)