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Stadium Background

Peresvet vs Sakhalinets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vasichenko R.
16' Event
Gainullin R. R.
47' Event
Gainullin R. R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Peresvet and Sakhalinets finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Peresvet
6%
Draws
90%
Sakhalinets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakhalinets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sakhalinets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sakhalinets have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Peresvet Clean Sheet 10%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peresvet Sakhalinets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Peresvet vs Sakhalinets
0:6
Sep 22, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Peresvet vs Sakhalinets
0:3
Jul 24, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Peresvet
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peresvet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Gainullin R. R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vasichenko R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peresvet 10 / 100
Sakhalinets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peresvet Sakhalinets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peresvet found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Sakhalinets let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sakhalinets has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peresvet VS Sakhalinets
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peresvet

(Home)
11 Nov
Peresvet
1 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
05 Nov
Saturn Ramenskoye
3 : 1
Peresvet
28 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 2
Kosmos
22 Oct
Kaluga
5 : 0
Peresvet
16 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 3
Khimki 2
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Sakhalinets

(Away)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)