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Perg vs Bad Leonfelden

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2025/2026 game between Perg and Bad Leonfelden finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Perg
6%
Draws
90%
Bad Leonfelden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bad Leonfelden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bad Leonfelden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bad Leonfelden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Perg Clean Sheet 10%
Bad Leonfelden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perg Bad Leonfelden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.63 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
3:3
Oct 4, 2025 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Perg
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Perg
1:0
Aug 15, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perg 10 / 100
Bad Leonfelden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perg Bad Leonfelden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bad Leonfelden conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Perg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perg VS Bad Leonfelden
1.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Perg

(Home)
12 Jun
Mondsee
4 : 2
Perg
03 Jun
Perg
5 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
29 May
Micheldorf
0 : 1
Perg
22 May
Perg
0 : 0
Friedburg
15 May
Ostermiething
1 : 1
Perg
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Bad Leonfelden

(Away)
12 Jun
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 1
Union Weisskirchen
07 Jun
Bad Leonfelden
5 : 1
Vocklamarkt
29 May
Bad Leonfelden
7 : 0
Bad Ischl
22 May
Pregarten
0 : 4
Bad Leonfelden
16 May
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 1
ASKO Oedt (Am)
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