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Perg vs Bad Leonfelden

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2025/2026 game between Perg and Bad Leonfelden finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Perg
30%
Draws
37%
Bad Leonfelden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bad Leonfelden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bad Leonfelden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Perg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Perg Clean Sheet 19%
Bad Leonfelden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perg Bad Leonfelden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.86 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
3:3
Oct 4, 2025 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Perg
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Perg
1:0
Aug 15, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Bad Leonfelden
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perg 42 / 100
Bad Leonfelden 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perg Bad Leonfelden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perg's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bad Leonfelden conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Perg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perg VS Bad Leonfelden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Perg

(Home)
19 Sept
Andorf
3 : 1
Perg
11 Sept
Perg
2 : 0
Bad Ischl
04 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 2
Perg
28 Aug
Perg
0 : 0
Union Weisskirchen
25 Aug
Union Edelweiss Linz
2 : 1
Perg
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Bad Leonfelden

(Away)
19 Sept
Grodig
1 : 1
Bad Leonfelden
11 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
1 : 4
Vorwarts Steyr
04 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 2
Dietach
29 Aug
Schallerbach
2 : 2
Bad Leonfelden
21 Aug
Bad Leonfelden
4 : 0
UFC Hallein
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