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Perg vs Garsten

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perg host Garsten in the Oberosterreich. Perg go into this one as the clear favorite. Garsten have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Perg have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.85. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.02 vs 1.21, favoring Perg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Perg
25%
Draws
35%
Garsten
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Perg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Perg have won more games recently than Garsten.
  • Win probability leans Perg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Oberosterreich form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Perg Clean Sheet 20%
Garsten Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perg Garsten
Matches Played 34 2
Wins 17 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.85 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perg 49 / 100
Garsten 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perg Garsten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perg scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Perg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Garsten let in goals in 50% of their last 2 matches.

Difficult form: Garsten registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perg VS Garsten
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Perg

(Home)
11 Aug
Gmunden
1 : 1
Perg
07 Aug
Perg
3 : 0
Vocklamarkt
12 Jun
Mondsee
4 : 2
Perg
03 Jun
Perg
5 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
29 May
Micheldorf
0 : 1
Perg
Page 1 of 7

Garsten

(Away)
11 Aug
Garsten
1 : 2
Friedburg
07 Aug
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
0 : 4
Garsten