Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
36'
36'
Corrent N.
40'
40'
Belcastro L.
AI Match Summary
The Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 game between Pergocrema and Carrarese finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pergocrema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Pergocrema have managed 0.87 goals a game lately — Carrarese are scoring more at 1.03.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Carrarese taking it.
- Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 18%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergocrema | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Carrarese vs Pergocrema
4:1
Dec 18, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Carrarese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pergocrema Compare
Top Goalscorer Celjak V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Carrarese Compare
Top Goalscorer Corrent N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belcastro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergocrema 23 / 100
Carrarese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergocrema Carrarese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carrarese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Carrarese let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Difficult form: Carrarese registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Pergocrema found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Carrarese
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergocrema
(Home) 06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1 Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3 Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0 Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1 Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3 Cremonese
01 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 2 Barletta
18 Mar
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Triestina
04 Mar
Pergocrema
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
Carrarese
(Away) 19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1 Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0 Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1 Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2 Mantova
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0 Carrarese
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
15 Aug
Torino
1 : 0 Carrarese
08 Aug
Entella
0 : 1 Carrarese
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0 Carrarese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:29 | 62 |
| 2 | Trapani | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Siracusa | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 46:31 | 58 |
| 4 | Lanciano | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:30 | 49 |
| 6 | Barletta | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 39:34 | 46 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:41 | 45 |
| 10 | Portogruaro | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 11 | Pergocrema | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | 40 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 13 | FeralpiSalo | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 26:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Prato | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Triestina | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 43:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Latina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 35 |
| 17 | Piacenza | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41:49 | 34 |
| 18 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 29:48 | 32 |
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
