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Pergocrema vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tortolano E.
11' Event
Le Noci G.
27' Event
Dettori F.

AI Match Summary

Cremonese in this Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pergocrema
35%
Draws
52%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cremonese lately — more wins on the board than Pergocrema.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Cremonese taking it.
  • Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 19%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergocrema Cremonese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Cremonese
1:3
Nov 27, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Cremonese vs Pergocrema
1:1
May 1, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Pergocrema vs Cremonese
2:1
Nov 28, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Cremonese vs Pergocrema
1:1
Apr 3, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Cremonese vs Pergocrema
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergocrema Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortolano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Noci G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dettori F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergocrema 10 / 100
Cremonese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergocrema Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cremonese let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Pergocrema's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pergocrema stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cremonese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergocrema

(Home)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese

(Away)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)