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Pergocrema vs Latina

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Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
83' Event
Fabbro A.

AI Match Summary

The Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 game between Pergocrema and Latina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pergocrema
30%
Draws
54%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Latina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Latina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 21%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergocrema Latina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Latina
1:1
Sep 18, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Latina vs Pergocrema
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergocrema Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabbro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Latina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergocrema 10 / 100
Latina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergocrema Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latina has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pergocrema scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pergocrema remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Latina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergocrema

(Home)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)