Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
58'
58'
84'
84'
Madonna N.
AI Match Summary
Spezia in this Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
20%
71%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Spezia have won more games recently than Pergocrema.
- Model gives Spezia a 71% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 16%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergocrema | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Spezia
1:2
Oct 16, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Spezia vs Pergocrema
2:0
Feb 27, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Pergocrema vs Spezia
2:2
Oct 10, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Spezia vs Pergocrema
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pergocrema Compare
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Madonna N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergocrema 10 / 100
Spezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergocrema Spezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spezia let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Pergocrema scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Pergocrema remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Spezia
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergocrema
(Home) 06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1 Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3 Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0 Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1 Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3 Cremonese
01 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 2 Barletta
18 Mar
Pergocrema
0 : 0 Triestina
04 Mar
Pergocrema
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
Spezia
(Away) 21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1 Spezia
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:29 | 62 |
| 2 | Trapani | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Siracusa | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 46:31 | 58 |
| 4 | Lanciano | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:30 | 49 |
| 6 | Barletta | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 39:34 | 46 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:41 | 45 |
| 10 | Portogruaro | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 11 | Pergocrema | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | 40 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 13 | FeralpiSalo | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 26:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Prato | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Triestina | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 43:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Latina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 35 |
| 17 | Piacenza | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41:49 | 34 |
| 18 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 29:48 | 32 |
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
