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Pergolettese vs Arzignano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Boffelli A.
30'
Tremolada M.
36' Event
Lakti E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pergolettese and Arzignano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
37%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arzignano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pergolettese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Arzignano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergolettese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 36 / 100
Arzignano 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pergolettese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arzignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Pergolettese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Arzignano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Arzignano

(Away)
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)