Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pergolettese vs Arzignano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Boffelli A.
30'
Tremolada M.
36' Event
Lakti E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pergolettese and Arzignano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pergolettese
22%
Draws
60%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Arzignano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 21%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Arzignano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergolettese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 20 / 100
Arzignano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Pergolettese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pergolettese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Arzignano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0
Lecco
19 Apr
Vicenza
0 : 0
Pergolettese
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2
Virtus Verona
06 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Pergolettese
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Pro Patria
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Arzignano

(Away)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)