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Pergolettese vs Grumellese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 game between Pergolettese and Grumellese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pergolettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
35%
Grumellese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Grumellese haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pergolettese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Grumellese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Grumellese
2:0
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Pergolettese
0:0
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Grumellese
1:1
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Pergolettese
0:3
Feb 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Grumellese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 40 / 100
Grumellese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Grumellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pergolettese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Grumellese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pergolettese scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
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Grumellese

(Away)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)