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Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pergolettese host Pro Vercelli in the Serie C - Group A. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Pergolettese have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Pro Vercelli's 1.04 scored and 1.68 conceded. Head-to-head, Pergolettese have won 2 to Pro Vercelli's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.88, favoring Pergolettese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pergolettese
20%
Draws
33%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Vercelli haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pergolettese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 76 / 100
Pro Vercelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pergolettese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pergolettese found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Pro Vercelli
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
30 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Pergolettese
25 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Lumezzane
18 Oct
Ospitaletto
2 : 3
Pergolettese
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
02 Nov
Juventus U23
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
16 Oct
Pro Vercelli
0 : 5
Lecco
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)