Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pergolettese vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pergolettese host Renate in the Serie C - Group A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pergolettese have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Renate's 1.52 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Pergolettese have won 0 to Renate's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 0.88) back Renate to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
24%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Renate haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Renate here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Renate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pergolettese
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Renate
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pergolettese vs Renate
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pergolettese
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Renate
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 32 / 100
Renate 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Pergolettese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Pergolettese found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Renate
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
30 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Pergolettese
25 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Lumezzane
18 Oct
Ospitaletto
2 : 3
Pergolettese
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Renate
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)