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Perilima vs Spartax

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Thu, Sep 28, 2023
0 - 3
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perilima host Spartax in the Paraibano 2 2023. Spartax go into this one as the clear favorite. Spartax have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Perilima have conceded 2.17 and scored 0.8. Head-to-head, Perilima have won 0 to Spartax's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.24) point toward Spartax. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Perilima
15%
Draws
85%
Spartax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartax lately — more wins on the board than Perilima.
  • Win probability leans Spartax's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Perilima Clean Sheet 19%
Spartax Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perilima Spartax
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Paraibano 2
Perilima vs Spartax
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perilima 10 / 100
Spartax 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perilima Spartax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Spartax registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Perilima found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartax
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perilima

(Home)
01 Oct
Sabugy
3 : 0
Perilima
28 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Spartax
24 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Picuiense
21 Sept
Sport PB
3 : 0
Perilima
17 Sept
Perilima
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

Spartax

(Away)
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Spartax
0 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
11 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 0
Spartax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)