Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Angelov Y.
17'
17'
Petrov A.
22'
22'
Petrov A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-8, with Hebar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pernik haven't matched Hebar's recent run of results.
- Model gives Hebar a 54% chance of winning this.
- Hebar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hebar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pernik | Hebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Pernik vs Hebar
1:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pernik Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitkov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Hebar Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavlov K.
3 Goals Assists Leader Petrov A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pernik 10 / 100
Hebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pernik Hebar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.
Hebar has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Pernik scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Pernik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Hebar
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pernik
(Home) 12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8 Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
19 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1 Pernik
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8 Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
05 May
Pernik
0 : 3 Marek
Page 1 of 4
Hebar
(Away) 27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2 Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1 Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2 Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1 Fratria
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2 Hebar
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1 Hebar
18 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 : 3 Hebar
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3 Hebar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
