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Pernik vs Velbazhd

Bulgaria Bulgaria

A PFG 1998/1999
Pernik Logo

Pernik

1 - 2
FT
Velbazhd Logo

Velbazhd

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velbazhd in this A PFG 1998/1999 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velbazhd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pernik
20%
Draws
0%
Velbazhd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Velbazhd haven't matched Pernik's recent run of results.
  • Pernik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular A PFG 1998/1999 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Velbazhd have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Pernik Clean Sheet 10%
Velbazhd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pernik Velbazhd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 1999 efbet League
Pernik vs Velbazhd
1:2
Nov 21, 1998 efbet League
Velbazhd vs Pernik
7:1
Apr 29, 1998 efbet League
Pernik vs Velbazhd
3:1
Nov 8, 1997 efbet League
Velbazhd vs Pernik
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pernik 83 / 100
Velbazhd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pernik Velbazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Velbazhd's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Velbazhd has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pernik scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pernik VS Velbazhd
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pernik

(Home)
12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8
Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
19 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Pernik
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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Velbazhd

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Lovech 30 24 4 2 83:25 73
2 Levski Sofia 30 23 5 2 55:11 71
3 Velbazhd 29 18 3 8 57:29 57
4 Lok. Sofia 30 17 4 9 46:30 55
5 CSKA Sofia 29 15 5 9 54:39 50
6 Neftochimic Burgas 30 15 4 11 52:38 49
7 Slavia Sofia 30 11 8 11 47:36 41
8 Minyor Pernik 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Dobrudzha 30 11 3 16 45:55 36
10 Pernik 30 11 2 17 33:46 35
11 Spartak Varna 30 10 4 16 39:50 34
12 Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 10 4 16 35:58 34
13 Shumen 2010 30 8 8 14 36:56 32
14 Botev Plovdiv 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
15 Septemvri Sofia 30 4 5 21 34:73 17
16 Lok. Plovdiv 30 4 5 21 26:73 17
Promotion - Champions League 1999/2000 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 1999 (Main)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)