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Pero Pinheiro vs Arronches Benfica Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro, Sintra
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Pero Pinheiro and Arronches Benfica finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pero Pinheiro
15%
Draws
73%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arronches Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arronches Benfica come out ahead of Pero Pinheiro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arronches Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 13%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pero Pinheiro Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Pero Pinheiro
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs Arronches Benfica
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Pero Pinheiro
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs Arronches Benfica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pero Pinheiro 10 / 100
Arronches Benfica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pero Pinheiro Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arronches Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arronches Benfica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pero Pinheiro's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arronches Benfica conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pero Pinheiro VS Arronches Benfica
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pero Pinheiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
06 Apr
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
O Elvas CAD
09 Mar
Fatima
4 : 0
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)